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US Stocks Mixed as Consumer Sentiment Plunges Amid Inflation Fears and Rate Cut Speculation

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US stocks experienced a dip in mid-morning trading on Friday as consumer sentiment plunged to a six-month low due to rising short-term inflation expectations and concerns about employment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) still managed to increase by approximately 0.2%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) maintained a neutral position after exceeding 5,200 for the first time in a month. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) decreased slightly by around 0.1%.

As investors ponder the potential for interest rate reductions, a series of Federal Reserve officials have expressed their opinions in recent weeks, with Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, and Austan Goolsbee among those speaking on Friday. Earlier, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic suggested that a single interest rate cut would occur towards the conclusion of the year, but he concurred with Mary Daly’s belief that waiting for a more substantial indication of declining price pressures is preferable.

In other news, Novavax (NVAX) saw significant stock price increases following its agreement with French firm Sanofi for $1.4 billion to jointly distribute its existing COVID-19 vaccine globally. Additionally, TSMC (TSM), a prominent contract chip manufacturer, announced a 60% surge in sales during April, attributing the growth to persistent demand for artificial intelligence-driven processors as well as a resurgence in consumer electronics like smartphones. Shares of both companies rose as a result.

Other noteworthy stock price movements included SoundGreen (SG), whose stock value increased by 40% after reporting better-than-expected earnings for the first quarter and raising its annual income projection due to higher menu prices. Sweetgreen (SG), a popular fast-food salad chain, also witnessed a rise in same-store sales by 5% during the first quarter, propelled by higher menu costs, and boosted its annual earnings forecast accordingly. American Garden Burger (SGB), a vegan burger maker, increased by 11% following the announcement that it would collaborate with Walmart to sell its products in stores across the United States starting in August.

The University of Michigan’s latest consumer sentiment study disclosed a 13% decrease in overall sentiment during the month of May, with the index rating for May arriving at 67.4, its lowest level in the previous six months, and significantly lower than experts’ projections of 76.2. Year-ahead inflation expectations climbed to 3.5%, while long-term inflation expectations increased to 3.1%.

All major indices opened higher on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) appearing set to finish the week with eight successive victories following a notably lethargic April for equities. At the commencement of trading, the Dow climbed approximately 0.2%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) grew by roughly 0.3%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) increased by around 0.2%. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) rose by roughly 4 basis points to reach approximately 4.49%. As investors grow increasingly optimistic regarding the likelihood of lower interest rates, a large number of Federal Reserve officials will speak publicly on Friday, possibly shedding light on the path forward for interest rate adjustments. Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, and Austan Goolsbee are among the officials scheduled to make public appearances. Citigroup (C) highlighted remarks made by Airbnb (ABNB) executives during the company’s most recent earnings call, indicating that overnight stays in Paris during the upcoming Olympic Games are five times greater than they were during the same period last year, while Germany is experiencing comparable patterns for the UEFA Europa League Final 2024. In summary, while US equity markets continue to exhibit signs of recovery, inflation concerns, and interest rate fluctuations persist. However, investor confidence appears to be increasing, as demonstrated by the recent stock price increases for Novavax (NVAX), TSMC (TSM), SoundGreen (SG), and Sweetgreen (SG).

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