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Dow Jones Surges on Fed Chair’s Rate Hike Hint, Inflation Concerns Linger Ahead of CPI Release

As the week begins, markets continue to rise with the Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing its best week in 2024 thus far, gaining 2.16% and marking its fourth consecutive weekly increase. Similar trends were observed for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which added 1.85% and 1.14%, respectively. Investors have expressed optimism following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s indication that interest rate hikes may no longer occur. However, these sentiments were somewhat tempered due to a significant increase in inflation expectations revealed in recent consumer sentiment data. The upcoming release of April’s consumer price index on Wednesday will serve as the next critical test.

As earnings season comes to a close, only seven S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. To date, almost 80% of the companies that have already disclosed results have surpassed projections. Companies yet to report could shed light on consumer behavior.

Shein, a Chinese-owned fast fashion enterprise, has applied to join the National Retail Federation (NRF), the industry’s leading trade group. Nevertheless, the NRF has repeatedly turned down the firm’s membership requests due to concerns regarding its connection to China, its supply chain, and its usage of a trade act provision. As Shein files for an initial public offering (IPO) in the US, it is attempting to sway politicians that it is trustworthy as a publicly traded corporation. The NRF’s endorsement might offer insight into the organization’s reliability.

Following SoftBank’s announcement that its Vision Fund, the flagship tech investment vehicle, posted an annual gain of 724.3 billion Japanese yen in the previous fiscal year, SoftBank Group itself recorded a profit in the fiscal fourth quarter that concluded in March. Arm Holdings, a subsidiary of SoftBank, went public last year, and its success contributed significantly to the positive result.

The restaurant sector has experienced a decrease in sales and visitor numbers as customers tighten their belts. Fast-food establishments have been adversely affected by this trend, particularly among lower-income individuals. McDonald’s is introducing a $5 value meal in US outlets to compensate for the reduction in spending. Alternatively, fast-casual chains such as Chipotle Mexican Grill, Wingstop, and Sweetgreen appear to be an exception to the rule, as higher-earning clients do not appear to be as concerned about expenses.

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